The polls are closed in New Hampshire. The last one closed less than 15 minutes ago.
I've been thinking all day about Barack Obama as a unifier, as a "transformational figure." And he will be, if elected, at least insofar as race is concerned. But this is to state the obvious.
I want to ask a few questions; these questions are offered not as an attempt to influence anyone's vote, as the polls are closed at this writing (at least on the east coast). They are strictly designed to anticipate potential scenarios should Barack Obama win tonight.
If this election cycle has been ultimately defined by race, meaning that Americans were eager to vote for the first-ever African-American nominee for president, then I am wondering what race relations might look like in the future under the following conditions:
I've been thinking all day about Barack Obama as a unifier, as a "transformational figure." And he will be, if elected, at least insofar as race is concerned. But this is to state the obvious.
I want to ask a few questions; these questions are offered not as an attempt to influence anyone's vote, as the polls are closed at this writing (at least on the east coast). They are strictly designed to anticipate potential scenarios should Barack Obama win tonight.
If this election cycle has been ultimately defined by race, meaning that Americans were eager to vote for the first-ever African-American nominee for president, then I am wondering what race relations might look like in the future under the following conditions:
- What will become of racial unity in America if President Obama is a terrible president?
- What will become of racial unity in America if President Obama governs too conservatively? too liberally?
- What will become of racial unity in America if President Obama has a cabinet mostly consisting of white members?
- What will become of racial unity in America if President Obama has a cabinet that is almost entirely African-American, and he and the cabinet perform poorly?
You and I need not answer these questions. We need not speculate. But these are exact samples of the finite number of possibilities of an Obama presidency. My sense is that if any of these comes to pass, racial unity could quickly dissolve. I think that a poorly performing (really poorly) President Obama could create a racial firestorm. I think we could hear some of the most incendiary racial speech this nation has heard in more than 60 years; such speech would come from both sides of the racial divide. I am not hoping for this; I am not saying this WILL happen; I am hoping it does NOT happen. I am merely saying that a Barack Obama presidency does not necessarily mean what many of us have thought it might mean.
My sense, then, is that Barack Obama may be an overly-cautious president, trying too hard to avoid the many pitfalls that his particular situation presents. He may even be paralyzed by his fear of offending those who have pinned such high hopes -- particularly about race -- on his leadership. One misstep could fracture any current unity he may have forged.
I will not explore this too fully. My interest is in the possible outcomes; I accept that there are others that I have not considered here. Let me mention at least one: A great and effective Barack Obama presidency will be a fantastic boost for racial unity in this country. That seems a priori true.
©2008. All Rights Reserved.
My sense, then, is that Barack Obama may be an overly-cautious president, trying too hard to avoid the many pitfalls that his particular situation presents. He may even be paralyzed by his fear of offending those who have pinned such high hopes -- particularly about race -- on his leadership. One misstep could fracture any current unity he may have forged.
I will not explore this too fully. My interest is in the possible outcomes; I accept that there are others that I have not considered here. Let me mention at least one: A great and effective Barack Obama presidency will be a fantastic boost for racial unity in this country. That seems a priori true.
©2008. All Rights Reserved.