I am completely over-stepping my bounds. I've no qualifications as an augur, a prognosticator. But I will defy those bounds and make a bold leap over all restraints: Barack Obama is going to shift rightward almost immediately. He has to.
If Mr. Obama intends on winning the 2012 election, he has to move to the right now. He knows that just a small swing in the electorate, something along the lines of ≤3% of the popular vote, may put him back doing community organizing in Chicago. So he has to go to the right; he has to move right to ensure that the independents and even the Republicans who voted for him do not leave him in four years.
Of course, as is his habit, he will be campaigning for the office of president in 2012 almost immediately.
Hillary Clinton, meanwhile, will swing WAY left. She sees Mr. Obama's dilemma and she's got to jump on it. She will hassle Mr. Obama from the far left like there is no tomorrow: he'll sound like Jesse Helms whenever she speaks about him.
Just a guess. But it's also a warning: Don't be seduced. His shift will disappear the second he gets reelected. In 2012, he'll go zooming leftward, for then he'll have nothing to lose.
©2008. All Rights Reserved.
If Mr. Obama intends on winning the 2012 election, he has to move to the right now. He knows that just a small swing in the electorate, something along the lines of ≤3% of the popular vote, may put him back doing community organizing in Chicago. So he has to go to the right; he has to move right to ensure that the independents and even the Republicans who voted for him do not leave him in four years.
Of course, as is his habit, he will be campaigning for the office of president in 2012 almost immediately.
Hillary Clinton, meanwhile, will swing WAY left. She sees Mr. Obama's dilemma and she's got to jump on it. She will hassle Mr. Obama from the far left like there is no tomorrow: he'll sound like Jesse Helms whenever she speaks about him.
Just a guess. But it's also a warning: Don't be seduced. His shift will disappear the second he gets reelected. In 2012, he'll go zooming leftward, for then he'll have nothing to lose.
©2008. All Rights Reserved.
5 comments:
Bill,
What about the people behind the $600+ Million he raked in during the campaign? They're going to want their pound of flesh. He may tack toward the middle but the man is a liberal. His chief of staff pick tells me that he is serious about a liberal agenda and Rahm Emmanuel will be his enforcer.
Chris
I think your post and Chris' comment point out Mr. Obama's problem. He's obviously beholden to the far, far left. Yet, he cannot ignore the fact that the U.S. is still a center right country. He won because of disaffection, deserved I should hasten to add, with the Republicans. Yet, he cannot be so oblivious of history as to have forgotten Bill Clinton's first two years: Gays in the Military, Waco destruction of children, Hillary Care(TM), among others. Those triumphs gave us:
Newt Gingrich!
Cheers, my friend.
P.S. I think Hillary will be quiet for awhile and bide her time to see how things play out. She's quite mercenary and will tack in the direction the wind is most fierce.
Ooops! Spoke too soon. (Note third sentence.)
Compare: This.
Cheers.
Dear R.
You are absolutely right, I did speak too soon. This stuff is frightening. The constitution really IS under attack.
"Change.gov"? Sick. Scary. Creepy. And utterly fascistic. I retract my prediction.
Peace.
BG
Now my link is stale. Evidently, the story about middle schoolers and mandatory "service" started getting some play, which was followed by a lot of outrage and now all references to said mandatory service are now gone from the "Change" website. See this.
Cheers.
Post a Comment